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Thursday, June 1, 2017

Cyril Ramaphosa's Rate of Approval Stable

The approval rate of Cyril Ramaphosa, Deputy President of the ANC and South Africa, has stayed stable over the last measuring period and it currently stands at 5.3 out of 10 amongst eligible voters.  In addition, his approval rate from ANC supporters has increased positively from 5.9 in November 2016 to 6.6 out of 10 in May 2017.

Approval of the rest of the Top 6

For the first time, approval ratings for all the top officials of the ANC were included in the same study.

Approval ratings for the top officials from the general South African public were rather low, but all in the same ballpark.  Approval ratings for officials from ANC supporters were higher in all cases, as within the party the officials and their abilities are better known.

ANC leaders in the news

During the first few months of the year, several ANC leaders regularly featured in the news and the survey probed some of their approval ratings amongst the public and amongst ANC supporters. The inclusion of the previous and the current ministers of finance and the minister of social development is self-explanatory. In addition, ratings for the ex-wife of the president and contender for the presidency of the country was also included.

Pravin Gordhan stays one of the most admired ANC leaders – both within and outside of the party.  Malusi Gigaba received a slightly higher approval rating from ANC supporters than from other South Africans – a similar trend was found for Bathabile Dlamini, although her approval ratings are on a much lower level.  Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma is viewed quite positively by ANC supporters, although this rating is still well below 5 out of 10 amongst the general population.

Opposition Leaders:

The approval rating of Mmusi Maimane is in the same ballpark as seen in November 2016, while the approval of Julius Malema is quite a bit lower than at the end of last year. However, for both opposition leaders, the approval from their own political parties have increased since last year:
  • Mmusi Maimane’s approval rating from the DA supporters has improved from 7.0 to 8.0 out of 10 and
  • Julius Malema’s approval rating from the EFF has improved from 7.6 to 8.2 out of 10.
“It is clear that the actions and views of these political leaders are supported by their own parties.  Their supporters have high regard for their leadership style, while the same can definitely not be said about president Zuma and the ANC”, says Harris.

 Technical Detail

The Khayabus study conducted from 21 April to 22 May 2017 was the first omnibus conducted by Ipsos in 2017.  A total of 3,471 South Africans, 18 years and older, were interviewed.  They were randomly selected and interviewed face-to-face in their homes and home languages. Interviews were conducted all over the country, from metropolitan areas to deep rural areas. This methodology ensured that the results are representative of the views of the universe and that findings can be weighted and projected to the universe – i.e. South Africans 18 years and older.

Trained quantitative fieldworkers from all population groups were responsible for the interviewing and CAPI (Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing) was used. All results were collated and analysed in an aggregate format to protect the identity and confidentiality of respondents.

All sample surveys are subject to a margin of error, determined by sample size, sampling methodology and response rate. The sample error for this sample at a 95% confidence level is a maximum of 1.63%.

Source: ENCA/Ipsos

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