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Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Majority of ANC members say Zuma must resign

The approval rating of President Jacob Zuma, as expressed by South African voters and even by ANC supporters is at the lowest level ever, according to the latest eNCA/Ipsos Approval Ratings poll. In addition, the "majority" of South Africans are asking for his resignation.
 
During face-to-face interviewing, the opinions of 3,598 randomly selected South Africans were canvassed – of these 3,471 were older than 18. Fieldwork was undertaken between 21 April and 22 May 2017. The results were weighted and projected to the universe from which the sample was drawn and are a mirror-image of the views of South Africans. (For more information, see the technical detail).


 
Rating the President

Respondents were asked to rate several politicians on a scale of 0 to 10 - where 0 means ‘totally against’ and 10 ‘totally in favour’ of the particular political leader.

Respondents were asked to rate their agreement that 'President Zuma should resign'. The below graph shows this poignant finding: whereas almost two-thirds of eligible South African voters want president Zuma to go, the negative sentiment against him in his own party is also strong – with more than half of ANC supporters (54%) saying that the president should leave office voluntarily. In fact, only slightly more than a quarter (27%) of ANC supporters want him to stay in his position.



The rating of president Zuma was 2.8 out of 10. This is the lowest score obtained for any president ever measured in this study (which has been undertaken since 1993) and is a relatively lower figure than the average of 4.0 expressed for the president in November 2016. “This low rating confirms the steady downward slope of the president’s approval rating since the start of his second term in office as president of South Africa,” says Mari Harris, political analyst and Director of Public Affairs at the research company Ipsos.  “This extremely low rating follows on a turbulent first five months of 2017, where we have seen cabinet shuffles late in the night, growing opposition against the president expressed by the ANC’s tripartite comrades, a downgrade of the country by rating agencies and many speculations and hard news about corruption and state capture.”
 



Examining how ANC supporters feel about the president of the organisation and the country reveals also an all-time low score of 4.2 out of 10.  Approval of president Zuma by his own party still stood at 5.4 out of 10 in November 2016.

To further explore these findings, we can look at the detailed results – the table below specifies the percentages of eligible voters and ANC supporters who assigned a particular approval number to the president.


When looking at the opinions expressed by eligible voters, three-quarters (75%) rate the performance of the president as 5 out of 10 or lower.  Shifting the focus to ANC supporters, more than six in every ten (62%) concur.  It is clear that the president evokes strong negative feelings from within his own constituency, with less than a fifth (18%) scoring his performance as political leader as a 9 or a 10 out of 10.
 
Exploring possible reasons
 
The results of other questions can be analysed in order to provide further context to describe the findings.  In the questionnaire, respondents are asked to indicate whether they “Strongly agree”, “Agree”, “neither agree nor disagree”, “Disagree” or “Strongly disagree” with a number of statements.

In view of South Africa’s downgrade by two ratings agencies, respondents were asked to rate the following statement: Job creation will slow down because of the downgrade of South Africa’s credit status to junk.


This finding highlights the similar opinions between South African adults of voting age and ANC supporters. In fact, roughly half of each of these groups think that the much-needed job creation in the country will suffer as a result of the downgrade.
 
It can be argued that the downgrade of the country cannot be ascribed directly to any action of the president, although as the head of government, voters do expect a lot from him.
 
However, in the opinion of voters, the president’s late night cabinet shuffle did not happen with their approval.  The statement asked of respondents was: 'The removal of Pravin Gordhan from the ministry of finance was a mistake.


Again, there is only a small difference (of 5 percentage points) between the opinions of the general public and ANC supporters that Mr Gordhan should not have been removed from cabinet.
 

Approval of Cyril Ramaphosa

The approval rate of Cyril Ramaphosa, Deputy President of the ANC and South Africa, has stayed stable over the last measuring period and it currently stands at 5.3 out of 10 amongst eligible voters.  In addition, his approval rate from ANC supporters has increased positively from 5.9 in November 2016 to 6.6 out of 10 in May 2017.

Approval of the rest of the Top 6 is also included in the study and will follow tomorrow here on GoXtraNews.com

Source: ENCA

Tweet us @GoXtraNews or say hello to editor@goxtranews.com 

The views expressed above are not that of GoXtra News but that of ENCA and the study concerned.

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